{
  "schema_version": "1.0.0",
  "source": "vibemath",
  "problem_id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
  "title": "Universal Multiplicative FDR Bound for Benjamini-Hochberg",
  "canonical_statement": "The Benjamini-Hochberg procedure is known not to control the false discovery rate at its nominal level under arbitrary dependence. A folklore conjecture in the FDR literature held that it must at least control the FDR up to a universal multiplicative constant. It does not: there are finite Gaussian models whose FDR divided by $q$ diverges as $q \\downarrow 0$, with an explicit two-sided lower bound $q\\sqrt{\\log(1/q)}/(2\\sqrt{\\pi}) + 0.6493 q + o(q)$.",
  "plain_summary": "VibeMathed reports this item as resolved. VibeMath preserves that report as a source assertion and has not independently authored a plain-language mathematical explanation.",
  "current_status": "resolved",
  "solution_events": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:event",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
      "type": "disproved",
      "status": "resolved",
      "occurred_at": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z",
      "title": "arXiv:2607.14812 - How Much Can Gaussian Dependence Inflate the Benjamini-Hochberg Procedure's FDR?",
      "summary": "VibeMathed reports this item as resolved. VibeMath preserves that report as a source assertion and has not independently authored a plain-language mathematical explanation.",
      "ai_contribution": "ai_assisted",
      "attempt_ids": [
        "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:attempt"
      ],
      "method_family_ids": [
        "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:method"
      ],
      "source_assertion_ids": [
        "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:assertion"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "attempts": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:attempt",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
      "model": "GPT-5.6 Sol",
      "provider": "OpenAI",
      "attempted_at": "2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z",
      "human_collaborators": [
        "Lihua Lei"
      ],
      "exposure": "unknown",
      "prompt_public": null,
      "outcome": "The disclosure says only that the author used the model for assistance with proof exploration, exposition and editing. It does not attribute any specific step, so the lowest tier applies.",
      "failed_routes": [],
      "artifacts": [],
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "arXiv:2607.14812 - How Much Can Gaussian Dependence Inflate the Benjamini-Hochberg Procedure's FDR?",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.14812",
          "kind": "primary-mathematical-source",
          "license": null
        },
        {
          "label": "VibeMathed: Universal Multiplicative FDR Bound for Benjamini-Hochberg",
          "url": "https://vibemathed.com/problem/bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
          "kind": "source-assertion",
          "license": "https://vibemathed.com/data-license"
        }
      ],
      "cost_usd": null,
      "independence": "unknown"
    }
  ],
  "verifications": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:verification",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
      "solution_event_id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:event",
      "level": "unreviewed",
      "mathematical_correctness": "unknown",
      "statement_fidelity": "unaudited",
      "peer_review": "none",
      "verifier": "VibeMathed (source-reported label)",
      "verified_at": null,
      "note": "Single-author arXiv preprint; not yet peer-reviewed.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "VibeMathed: Universal Multiplicative FDR Bound for Benjamini-Hochberg",
          "url": "https://vibemathed.com/problem/bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
          "kind": "source-assertion",
          "license": "https://vibemathed.com/data-license"
        },
        {
          "label": "arXiv:2607.14812 - How Much Can Gaussian Dependence Inflate the Benjamini-Hochberg Procedure's FDR?",
          "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.14812",
          "kind": "primary-mathematical-source",
          "license": null
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "arXiv:2607.14812 - How Much Can Gaussian Dependence Inflate the Benjamini-Hochberg Procedure's FDR?",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.14812",
      "kind": "primary-mathematical-source",
      "license": null
    },
    {
      "label": "VibeMathed: Universal Multiplicative FDR Bound for Benjamini-Hochberg",
      "url": "https://vibemathed.com/problem/bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
      "kind": "source-assertion",
      "license": "https://vibemathed.com/data-license"
    }
  ],
  "recommended_mode": "verify",
  "recommended_exposure": "result_only",
  "opportunity_signals": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound:signal:watch_only",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:bh-fdr-universal-multiplicative-bound",
      "kind": "watch_only",
      "reason": "Current public evidence does not meet the default replay threshold.",
      "generated_at": "2026-09-13T16:28:40.178Z"
    }
  ],
  "uncertainties": [
    "VibeMath has not independently verified the mathematical claim.",
    "AI-attempt independence and training-data exposure are unknown unless explicitly documented.",
    "VibeMath has not independently audited the mathematical statement, proof, or novelty claim."
  ],
  "generated_at": "2026-09-13T16:28:40.178Z"
}
