{
  "schema_version": "1.0.0",
  "source": "vibemath",
  "problem_id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
  "title": "The $C^\\infty$ Carathéodory Conjecture on Umbilic Points",
  "canonical_statement": "Carathéodory's conjecture, Problem 8.1 of Ghomi's list and traceable to 1922, asks whether every closed convex surface in $\\mathbb{R}^3$ has at least two umbilic points. Hamburger settled the real-analytic case in 1940-41 and it stands. The $C^\\infty$ case is false: an explicit support function gives a smoothly embedded two-sphere bounding a convex body with exactly one umbilic point. The same family disproves the smooth Loewner conjecture, whose member at $k=1$ has an isolated trace-free Hessian zero of winding number three.",
  "plain_summary": "VibeMathed reports this item as candidate. VibeMath preserves that report as a source assertion and has not independently authored a plain-language mathematical explanation.",
  "current_status": "candidate",
  "solution_events": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:event",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
      "type": "disproved",
      "status": "candidate",
      "occurred_at": "2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z",
      "title": "Levent Alpöge, X announcement of the smooth counterexample",
      "summary": "Only the smooth case falls. Hamburger's real-analytic theorem is untouched, and the counterexample is explicitly a $C^\\infty$ object, so the conjecture's classical analytic form remains true. The gap between the two is the whole content of the result.",
      "ai_contribution": "ai_assisted",
      "attempt_ids": [
        "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:attempt"
      ],
      "method_family_ids": [
        "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:method"
      ],
      "source_assertion_ids": [
        "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:assertion"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "attempts": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:attempt",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
      "model": "Claude, Codex",
      "provider": "Anthropic, OpenAI",
      "attempted_at": "2026-08-19T00:00:00.000Z",
      "human_collaborators": [
        "Levent Alpöge",
        "John-Paul Smith"
      ],
      "exposure": "unknown",
      "prompt_public": null,
      "outcome": "Two distinct roles, neither of them the discovery. The formalization's module docstring records that Alpöge's announcement \"credits John-Paul Smith and Claude with checking the construction\", so the model's part was verifying a human construction. Separately, the Lean development was, in its author's words, \"developed with Codex and parallel proof-review agents\" - a formalization of a human result, which the methodology does not count as the contribution. Recorded as assisted rather than co-developed for that reason; the submission proposed co-developed.",
      "failed_routes": [],
      "artifacts": [
        {
          "label": "Lean proof, sorry-free at the pinned commit",
          "url": "https://github.com/google-deepmind/formal-conjectures/blob/7aa855bb344450777d9b19fe1cf11f2f5f9fae09/FormalConjectures/Other/CaratheodoryLoewnerCounterexample.lean",
          "kind": "lean-proof",
          "license": null
        },
        {
          "label": "The informal proof accompanying the formalization",
          "url": "https://github.com/google-deepmind/formal-conjectures/blob/7aa855bb344450777d9b19fe1cf11f2f5f9fae09/FormalConjectures/Other/CaratheodoryLoewnerCounterexample.md",
          "kind": "paper",
          "license": null
        },
        {
          "label": "Lean statement of the smooth and analytic conjectures",
          "url": "https://github.com/google-deepmind/formal-conjectures/pull/5066",
          "kind": "lean-statement",
          "license": null
        },
        {
          "label": "Ghomi, Open Problems in Geometry of Curves and Surfaces (Problem 8.1)",
          "url": "https://ghomi.math.gatech.edu/Papers/op.pdf",
          "kind": "problem-record",
          "license": null
        }
      ],
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Levent Alpöge, X announcement of the smooth counterexample",
          "url": "https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2089971359921156203",
          "kind": "primary-mathematical-source",
          "license": null
        },
        {
          "label": "VibeMathed: The $C^\\infty$ Carathéodory Conjecture on Umbilic Points",
          "url": "https://vibemathed.com/problem/mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
          "kind": "source-assertion",
          "license": "https://vibemathed.com/data-license"
        }
      ],
      "cost_usd": null,
      "independence": "unknown"
    }
  ],
  "verifications": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:verification",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
      "solution_event_id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:event",
      "level": "lean_checked_statement_unaudited",
      "mathematical_correctness": "supported",
      "statement_fidelity": "unaudited",
      "peer_review": "none",
      "verifier": "VibeMathed (source-reported label)",
      "verified_at": null,
      "note": "Audited by this site on 21 August 2026 at the commit the formal_proof attribute pins (7aa855b, google-deepmind/formal-conjectures). The formalized hypothesis is the classical statement and not a weakened one: IsConvexSphereOfClass requires Topology.IsEmbedding together with range F = frontier K for a compact convex K of nonempty interior, so \"parametrized\" names the Gauss parametrization rather than admitting mere immersions. The pinned line is not_caratheodoryConjectureOfClass_infty, the smooth statement, and the proof tree is 8013 lines carrying zero sorry, zero declared axioms and no native_decide. Not lean-verified, because that commit is NOT merged - it is diverged from main by 11 commits and behind by 26, and both upstream pull requests are drafts, #5070 saying \"I'm currently checking this ... please ignore\". The Lean was read here, not compiled, and the announcement itself is an X post.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "VibeMathed: The $C^\\infty$ Carathéodory Conjecture on Umbilic Points",
          "url": "https://vibemathed.com/problem/mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
          "kind": "source-assertion",
          "license": "https://vibemathed.com/data-license"
        },
        {
          "label": "Levent Alpöge, X announcement of the smooth counterexample",
          "url": "https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2089971359921156203",
          "kind": "primary-mathematical-source",
          "license": null
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "Levent Alpöge, X announcement of the smooth counterexample",
      "url": "https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2089971359921156203",
      "kind": "primary-mathematical-source",
      "license": null
    },
    {
      "label": "VibeMathed: The $C^\\infty$ Carathéodory Conjecture on Umbilic Points",
      "url": "https://vibemathed.com/problem/mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
      "kind": "source-assertion",
      "license": "https://vibemathed.com/data-license"
    }
  ],
  "recommended_mode": "verify",
  "recommended_exposure": "result_only",
  "opportunity_signals": [
    {
      "id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture:signal:verify_now",
      "problem_id": "vibemathed:mathbb-c-infty-caratheodory-conjecture",
      "kind": "verify_now",
      "reason": "The source labels this result as a candidate; verification should precede reuse.",
      "generated_at": "2026-09-13T16:28:40.178Z"
    }
  ],
  "uncertainties": [
    "The source status is candidate and must not be represented as solved.",
    "VibeMath has not independently verified the mathematical claim.",
    "AI-attempt independence and training-data exposure are unknown unless explicitly documented.",
    "VibeMath has not independently audited the mathematical statement, proof, or novelty claim."
  ],
  "generated_at": "2026-09-13T16:28:40.178Z"
}
